People keep asking why they are not yet “feeling the benefits” of voting Labour.
Well, Labour have been in office about five minutes. The electorate seems to think governments are like those novelty cash-grab machines where you step inside a booth and banknotes swirl around your head while you snatch at them. Press a button, pull a lever, instant prosperity.
But that only works if the machine was full of money to begin with.
The uncomfortable reality is that Britain’s problems are structural, long-term and, in large part, self-inflicted. We are not dealing with a temporarily blocked sink. We are dealing with decades of underinvestment, stagnant productivity, weak infrastructure, a chronic housing shortage, regional inequality, an ageing population, soaring health and social care costs, and an economy that became far too dependent on cheap money, cheap imports and financial services.
And then, in a moment of collective national genius, we voted to make trade with our largest nearby market more difficult.
That was not done to us by aliens. We voted for it. Not me personally though.
People now behave as if the country simply woke up one morning and found itself mysteriously poorer, more indebted and less economically flexible. No. We made choices. Democratic choices. Some of those choices were driven by anger, nostalgia, or the comforting fantasy that complicated problems always have simple solutions.
For years, large sections of the electorate wanted Scandinavian public services, American tax levels, Brexit sovereignty, low immigration, rising pensions, cheap energy, no borrowing and strong growth all at the same time. Preferably by Thursday afternoon.
Politics adapted to that fantasy market.
Nigel Farage understood this perfectly. Sheila Fogarty yesterday made a point on LBC that Farage tells stories while Starmer presents spreadsheets. And she is correct, up to a point. Human beings respond emotionally before they respond rationally. Farage knows how to walk into a room and make people feel that all complex problems have obvious villains and easy answers.
The problem is that many of those answers are nonsense.
Brexit itself was sold as a magic lever. Pull this one lever and Britain becomes richer, freer, stronger and sovereign all at once. No trade-offs. No costs. Just a sort of patriotic Narnia accessed through Dover.
Instead, we rediscovered that modern economies are complicated systems involving supply chains, labour shortages, investment flows, borrowing costs and regulatory interdependence. Extremely inconsiderate of reality, frankly.
And now, astonishingly, parts of the country appear ready to double down by drifting toward Reform, whose answer to the damage caused by simplistic populism appears to be even more simplistic populism. It is rather like responding to an engine fire by pouring in extra petrol because flames indicate enthusiasm.
The strange thing is that many of the same people demanding instant improvement are still attracted to precisely the politics that helped create the instability in the first place. They want somebody to tell them it is all somebody else’s fault. Brussels. Migrants. Net zero. Judges. Cyclists. The BBC. Take your pick.
Anything except the possibility that difficult national choices sometimes produce difficult national consequences.
People look at Starmer as though he is sitting in the cockpit of a giant Boeing 747 with hundreds of glowing switches labelled LOWER BILLS, HIGHER WAGES, CHEAPER HOUSING and NHS FIXED. They imagine he is simply refusing to press them because he lacks charisma.
But modern governments often have only a few small wheels left to turn, and some are barely connected anymore.
The old post-war economic model operated in a world of lower debt, younger populations, cheaper energy, stronger industrial capacity and fewer geopolitical shocks. Governments had more room to borrow, spend and stimulate without markets immediately punishing them.
Now look around.
Borrowing costs are far higher than they were during the cheap-money era. Interest payments swallow huge chunks of public spending. The Ukraine war destabilised European energy markets. Tensions involving Iran threaten shipping routes and oil prices. Productivity growth across much of the West has slowed for years. Britain also carries the additional self-imposed friction of Brexit on top of all that.
So when people ask, “Why can’t the government just invest massively?”, the answer is simple: because borrowing is no longer cheap, and markets eventually notice if you start behaving like Liz Truss with access to a Red Bull multipack.
Of course investment is still necessary. Britain desperately needs investment in infrastructure, housing, energy generation, transport, training and technology. Productivity does not rise because somebody gives an inspiring speech in Doncaster. It rises because people and businesses become more efficient over many years through investment, education and stability.
Which brings us to the current hysteria over Starmer.
A section of the Labour movement seems convinced that replacing him with Andy Burnham or some other more emotionally performative figure would suddenly transform the situation. But unless Burnham has secretly discovered North Sea-sized reserves of cheap money hidden beneath Rochdale, he inherits exactly the same structural constraints.
You can change the salesman without changing the balance sheet.
People also confuse communication with capability. In politics, as in life, charisma is often mistaken for competence. But if I am on an aircraft flying through a violent storm, I do not particularly care whether the captain is emotionally engaging. I care whether he understands the instruments.
I do not need him bursting into the cabin shouting, “Come on everyone, let’s believe in Britain!” while accidentally stalling the engines over the Bay of Biscay.
I need somebody calm enough to understand what is actually happening.
And yes, that person also has to communicate. They have to explain the route, the weather, the risks and the likely duration of the turbulence. But communication is not a substitute for competence. It is an addition to it.
The electorate, however, often behaves like toddlers demanding to know why the seeds they planted yesterday have not yet become a fully grown oak tree with a patio and integrated barbecue area.
“We voted Labour months ago. Why is everything not fixed?”
Because economies are not apps. You cannot reboot them.
Starmer is probably banking on exactly what rational governments usually bank on: that if stability returns, inflation falls, investment improves, energy prices settle and infrastructure projects begin moving, voters may eventually notice tangible improvements before the next election.
That is not glamorous politics. It is slow politics. Administrative politics. Competence politics.
Which is precisely why so many people find it boring.
But boring is underrated. Boring is what you want in air traffic control. Boring is what you want in nuclear engineering. Boring is what you want when your economy resembles a 20-year-old motorhome held together by cable ties, expanding foam and receipts from Screwfix.
Britain does not need another performer standing on a barrel telling us foreigners, judges, Brussels or net zero are the source of all suffering.
It needs patience, investment, realism and an electorate mature enough to admit that some of the current mess was voted for willingly, repeatedly and sometimes enthusiastically.
Because until voters themselves grow up and accept responsibility for the choices that helped put Britain here, they will remain vulnerable to the next grinning salesman offering another magic lever that turns out to be attached to absolutely bloody nothing.
It took the Tories 14 years to fuck up the country - pardon my French. It's unrealistic to think it can be fixed in 2 years.









