Is it by-election or bye-election?
Anyway, by-elections (I have nailed my flag to the mast) are notorious for low turnouts, meaning it's dangerous to use them as a weathervane for General Elections; however, historically the cohorts least likely to turn out for a by-election are the young and the marginalised - precisely the cohorts most likely to vote Labour at a General Election, when they do tend to make it to the polling stations. This does not bode well for the Tories.
It seems strange to me that their response to losing support among voters, because of their swing to the right over the last decade, is to go even further to the right. That's counterintuitive. There again, for many Conservatives, they haven't move far enough to the right, hence the emergence of Reform, Reclaim and all the other factions which are draining crypto-fascist votes away from the Tories. In pandering to a small and irrelevant number on the far right, they're alienating a far greater number of moderate, One Nation Tories who could win them a GE.
It's interesting to note that Britain is bucking the European trend, as in mainland Europe it's the younger voters who are more likely to vote for a right wing party. Quite why this is remains a mystery.
Is Rees-Mogg destined for The Moggery at the next GE?
2 comments:
"Many a slip twixt cup and lip".....I fear Labour could still lose the coming election or leave us with a hung parliament. They have failed to understand the mood of the people over so many things: Israel-Gaza; the ability to define what a woman is; the parlous state of the NHS; food prices; energy prices.
I have yet to hear one policy that persuades me Starmer is more than a cardboard cut-out. We live in interesting times.
bi-elections?
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