Friday, 25 October 2019

Sun Tzu


There's a story from Art of War by Sun Tzu, the famous, Chinese general and strategist of the Warring States Period, where a man had to race his three horses against the King's three horses in three separate races, 2 horses at a time. His horses weren't quite as good as the King's, but not that far behind.

Sun Tzu advised the man to race his best horse against the King's second best horse, his second best horse against the King's worst and his worst horse against the King's best horse. That way he stood a good chance of winning two races and losing only one.


It strikes me that the Remain camp has to remove Johnson's best horse, which can only be done by voting the current deal off the table. The objective then is to force a second referendum comprising No Deal vs Remain. Johnson's deal has the advantage of persuading more people to vote for it than for No Deal, if purely through attrition; however, if the deal is removed, then Remain is more attractive to the moderates who are then split from the Tories. It has the added advantage of taking the Ultras away from the Tories too and back into Führage's arms, once more making him relevant and weakening Johnson. It would probably even find favour with Führage.

No Deal was never a serious threat to the EU, as events have proven, but it is a threat to Parliament, and that's how it was used.


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